The sector has been red hot. It is due for a pause and a test of the breakout. Perhaps this is where we get that healthy pause and refresh or perhaps we have a little more juice left in this move. Yesterday was interesting with a pretty strong move in the big pharma names. I […]
April 17th Biotech Update
We still wait on the Middle East to see if we need to add another layer of macro worry to the markets. The longer we go on the more likely tension settle but it still seems to rest on the scale of the Israeli response and whether it compels Iran to respond. A tit-for-tat spiral […]
April 8th Biotech Update
And we are once again dependent on rates and inflation. Rates are moving higher regardless of what the Fed has been saying as the economy remains stronger than expected. I think we started the year with the thought that we could see upwards of seven rate cuts, but it has generally been around three to […]
March 21st Biotech Update
Nothing really that news worthy this week so far. That being said the sector might be getting some momentum. We definitely needed to some bouncing after the hanging around what should be support and so far we seem to be seeing that bounce. The chart itself is showing a nice two day move and ideally […]
March 18th Biotech Update
Not a lot of news to start the week. Ideally we need to get some positive momentum going in the sector but there is not a ton of fundamentals to get it going this week. It would not be bad to see the sector get some upside movement without a lot of fundamental news but […]
March 14th Biotech Update
Support held yesterday and perhaps that is an early positive sign that we have reached the bottom of this little selloff. One day does not make a successful test of support but it was nice to see and ideally we can build on that green and even accelerate it into the end of the week. […]
March 13th Biotech Update
Well, we are no longer hanging at the higher levels and my original thought that we would test the upper end of the previous range was correct. We are getting close and perhaps the intraday low the other day was the test, but we are pretty close. It is probably a reasonable time to be […]
January 31st Biotech Update
We seem to be doing a little better today but not really getting any momentum to the upside. We have an upcoming rate decision but I doubt that will be market moving unless the commentary comes out unexpectedly bullish or bearish on rates. I suspect it will be continue to follow the data and while […]
January 30th Biotech Update
A mixed start to the week. Yesterday was quite positive and constructive and today we are giving up most of the gains. We seem to be in a choppy market for the sector and perhaps we are setting up for a more significant trend move (higher or lower) but I still think we are basically […]
November 29th Biotech Update
Not the greatest start to the week but also not the worst. No significant green bars but we also seem to have hit some area of support each day and rallied. As long as that trend is maintained this is not a bad situation. One could be looking at the development of support at these […]
October 19th Biotech Update
And just like that the potential relief rally is over. We are breaking new lows and the little rally looks like another lower high. I had at least one day of potential hope for the sector but my long-standing view that we are heading to the $62 area seems unfortunately accurate. Of course, there is […]
September 14th Biotech Update
Not exactly the day that we wanted to build confidence. We had a chance but it sort of looks more like a range bound bottoming process is more likely than a clear move into an uptrend. Of course, we still have the potential to break lower but I still think a range is more likely […]
September 12th Biotech Update
We could be setting up a higher low but I would be very cautious. If we can remain above these levels and not get down to recent lows it would be a positive sign. It also means that we need to get above $81.50 to set a higher high (at least in terms of starting […]
July 28th Biotech Update
Finally a little bit of traction in the sector and it could be a little relief rally or it could be news related. It is absolutely critical that this is more than an early morning rally that loses steam and we end up red. We are at an area where a lower low is possible […]
June 14th Biotech Update
We are so close. We did break above the $90 level but I think the ideal scenario is to get some distance (say a little bit more move to the $93 level) and then a pullback to the $90 level which holds as support. I think a pullback from here to the $88 level (where […]
May the 4th Biotech Update Be With You
We seem to be finally breaking out of the range especially if the broader market can at least hold up. The news continues to be good for the sector and that seems to be bring more investors and interest. As long as these new investors can make money there should be a nice momentum that […]
April 20th Biotech Update
This week has been pretty tame in the sense that we have not really built on the move higher but have not broken below that $80 level that I think is key to hold. I think we are all a little impatient with the sector given its recent performance but grinding right above the $80 […]
March 9th Biotech Update
I feel like we are in déjà vu all over again. This year feels like last year where the sector underperforms when the market is weak and underperforms when it is strong. Good news provides only a momentary boost only to be given back and bad news is punished severely. All that being said we […]
February 13th Biotech Update
Not the greatest way to end the week as we clearly did not get that higher low that was the potential. We still could get a nice little trend, but we cannot get any lower. There is also a potential that we get back to the lower end of the old range, which would make […]
August 10th Biotech Update
Did we have that pullback that refreshed? Sort of. We went down to what was resistance and have bounced but it was a quick little move. In some ways, a move down to the $87 level on the XBI would be the former resistance and I will be really looking to see if we make […]
