An interesting start to the week. Stocks are starting off stronger than most expected (including me) with the sector slightly outperforming. We have some news to talk about but not a ton and I do not think either are sector moving. 1. We do have a merger Monday with HZNP buying RPTP. I think it […]
November 11 Biotech Update
The market seems mixed and searching for direction. It seems hard to see a clear trend in the sector or within the sector. Some large caps are strong and others weak. Some SMID are strong and others weak. Perhaps this is the start of my “stock picking” thesis playing out but it could also simply […]
July 30 Biotech Update
The sector is pretty weak, which is a continuation of the past couple of days. It is not immediately clear to me the reason for the weakness as earnings have been almost universally good (notable exception being BIIB). Given the lack of news, I will spend today brainstorming some ideas for the weakness as well […]
July 21 Biotech Update
The sector was green again yesterday and this morning but it does not seem to be a broad based move. The small caps appear to be underperforming and among the large caps it seems isolated to CELG with AMGN and GILD being relatively weak. This narrowing of the move tells me that we are much […]
July 20 Biotech Update
There is some news this morning but nothing that in and of itself is likely to move the sector. On the other hand, the news has generally been positive, so there is nothing to change the momentum to the upside. It is nice to see a week begin without a major macro discussion. Perhaps this […]
July 7 Biotech Update
There is a little more news today but still relatively quiet. The market seems to be looking for a direction but the sector seems to be outperforming to the upside. Yesterday was certainly better than expected but it also did not end in an exceptionally bullish manner. That is why I still think the market […]
Week’s Option Activity (11/18~11/21)
The following stocks had notable activity in their options during the past week(s): $HZNP (11/18): 1,632 FEB14 6.0 strike Calls (stock at $4.47) were purchased for 0.95 or $155,040. Buyer makes money if stock trades north of $6.95 by expiration. $NWBO (11/18): 250 APR14 7.5 strike Calls (stock at $5.71) were sold for 1.05 or […]
Horizon Pharma continues cash burn and dilution
We last wrote on Horizon Pharma (NASDAQ: HZNP) following their FDA approval of RAYOS, but seems not much has changed. However, the stock has risen roughly 60% year to date with no apparent change in fundamentals. We view this company as overvalued given their products exorbitant price, no data to support superiority claims over cheap […]
HZNP – Horizon Pharma’s unsustainable business model
Horizon Pharma (NASDAQ: HZNP) currently has 2 FDA approved products, one of which is also approved in select EU countries. I view this company as significantly overvalued given their products have no data suggestion superiority claims over cheap generics. Products Duexis is a combination of ibuprofen 800 mg and famotidine 26.6 mg, indicated for rheumatoid […]
AMRN HZNP – Amarin’s VASCEPA and Horizon’s RAYOS receive FDA approval
Late Thursday afternoon, we learned that both Amarin (NASDAQ: AMRN) and Horizon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: HZNP) separate new drug applications had been approved by the FDA. We have some insight to share on both names. With respect to Horizon, unfortunately, their future is not looking so bright. Rayos is a delayed-release formulation of low-dose prednisone. Prednisone […]
Upcoming FDA Decisions
We will have several regulatory decisions expected this week, some more important than others. This coming week got slightly tamer with the FDA’s approval decision for Carfilzomib on Friday for Onyx and Ligand. Horizon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: HZNP) has a PDUFA date of Thursday, July 26, 2012 for LODOTRA(delayed-release low-dose prednisone), for the treatment of rheumatoid […]