Are we getting a lower low after a lower high? It certainly can be the case but there is enough congestion at these levels and volume is low enough into the end of the year that I can see this not sticking as a breakdown. Of course, we really do need to break above the […]
December 18th Biotech Update
I know sentiment is not great in the sector but honestly if you take a step back we still remain rangebound. I know there are red hot sectors in the market, but it seems increasingly narrow set of stocks that are the beneficiaries. You just need to compare the NASDAQ with the DOW to see […]
December 12th Biotech Update
Let me know if you heard this before? We seem to be in a range bound market with the sector and appear to be lagging the broader markets. We are still waiting for a big pick up in news and, in particular, M&A. It seems that most people are using the sector more as a […]
December 9th Biotech Update
A pretty neutral start to the week but we also do not have a ton of sector moving news. I do not think we are quite at the point where trading slows down for the year but we are getting there. I would not be surprised to see continued rangebound trading heading into the end […]
December 3rd Biotech Update
Still a relatively slow start to the week but there is still some interesting news. The sector has certainly bounced from the lows it experienced after the election, but we might actually be back into a range bound sector. It looked like we had broken out but now I am not so sure. This could […]
November 26th Biotech Update
A nice recovery for the sector and so it is not surprising that we see a little pause. Perhaps we can continue the momentum the rest of the week but we are approaching a holiday and so I expect volumes to slow down and the momentum of this initial bounce to pause. This is not […]
November 25th Biotech Update
I suspect that the sector could be on pace to a nice recovery this week. Vivek comments this weekend and the FDA commissioner nominee may has allayed some concerns about the incoming administration and their relationship with the sector. I am not completely convinced about anything at this point but what I see it is […]
November 20th Biotech Update
We got the bounce that I was sort of expecting and I would not be surprised if it continued. We are right at pretty strong support (or what I thought should have been pretty strong support). My base case is that we should expect this bounce to continue but I am still not 100% sure […]
November 19th Biotech Update
Well, I was worried about false breakouts and the RFK nomination and both unfortunately came to fruition. We are at a point where support should start to limit the losses. I would actually be a little surprised if we do not get some kind of bounce from the these levels given how far and quickly […]
November 15th Biotech Update
Well, this is why I thought that there was not a clear election outcome that would be all bullish for the sector. The nomination of RFK to head HHS sent the sector down and regardless of what one think about the nomination, it increases uncertainty. He has talked about removing vaccine approvals, blocking others, and […]
November 14th Biotech Update
Are we having a false breakout? Maybe but I would not think that is the base case assumption. Breakouts can be choppy and we still likely have a uncertainty in politics (even though that has come down a lot). Until we get closer to the lower end of the range I would not start talking […]
Veterans Day Biotech Update
It’s beginning to look a lot (not Christmas) but a breakout. Ideally, we will be able to extend this move for a couple of days and then pullback to the previous upper end of the range, where it will act as new support. That would be a clear breakout confirmation and I think it is […]
November 8th Biotech Update
Hopefully we are on the verge of breaking out and it would be a nice end to the week to see a clear move higher above the range. I still think we really need to see more M&A to really create a clean breakout but I think the expectations seems to be that that is […]
November 7th Biotech Update
We got a clear result from the election and it seems clear (at least initially) that the market approves. I would not say that there is a clear breakout for the sector but we are at the area where one can start thinking that it is breaking out. I still think RFK could be an […]
November 4th Biotech Update
I do not expect any major changes until at least Wednesday. That assumes that we have some sort of election clarity (hopefully). Even then I am not sure what is best for the sector. I would usually assume that a Republican win would be better but some are naturally getting nervous about RFK role in […]
Halloween Biotech Update
Happy Halloween and it is a little scary out there right now, although only a little. We still are in the middle of the range and with the election coming next week, I am not convinced we get a significant move before that clarity (although I also doubt we get full clarity after the election). […]
October 30th Biotech Update
Not much to say about the sector as we continue in the range and are a little higher today as we move towards the upper end of the range. Of course, it is always nicer to be near the higher end than the lower end but as always the expectation should always be that we […]
October 29th Biotech Update
Tell me if you have heard this before but the sector appears to be range bound. There is nothing that has happened to indicate anything other than a range bound market, On the positive side, we have moved away from the lower end of the range and are much closer to the middle but I […]
October 23rd Biotech Update
Heading to the lower end of the range today. I suspect I am going to sound like a broken record as we bounce around this range. I keep noting that we will breakout of the upper end if we get some M&A but we also cannot ignore the possibility that we breakdown. We are in […]
October 22nd Biotech Update
Pretty slow to start the week. Not a ton of news that would really move stocks let alone the sector. I think we are probably going to drift around in a range pretty correlated with the broader markets. While there could be some really good data that could move the sector, I still think the […]
