February 8th Biotech Update

Still in the choppy sort of market but we are at least holding up.  I understand the annoyance that the broader market is doing well and the sector is really lagging from relative sense but when the sector runs it will make up a lot of this underperformance.  January was a massive month for follow […]

February 6th Biotech Update

It was a nice day yesterday not because of a massive rally but one where we started solidly red but rebounded into the green.  It is always nice to see those reversals and it was not as if it was a quick dip into the red but one that was pretty sustained for most of […]

February 5th Biotech Update

I would not say that we are at the end of the chop for the sector but are probably closer to the end than the beginning.  I saw some notes that blamed the lack of rate cuts on the market but I am not sure that is the issue.  It is true that rates remain […]

February 2nd Biotech Update

I guess we are not done with rates quite yet.  We do seem to be a little sensitive (at least more so than I would have thought).  Fed day was not great but as rates fell, the sector did better.  I think we are all done with being so tightly correlated with interest rates but […]

January 31st Biotech Update

We seem to be doing a little better today but not really getting any momentum to the upside.  We have an upcoming rate decision but I doubt that will be market moving unless the commentary comes out unexpectedly bullish or bearish on rates.  I suspect it will be continue to follow the data and while […]

January 30th Biotech Update

A mixed start to the week.  Yesterday was quite positive and constructive and today we are giving up most of the gains.  We seem to be in a choppy market for the sector and perhaps we are setting up for a more significant trend move (higher or lower) but I still think we are basically […]

January 26th Biotech Update

The sector is bouncing along and while it is underperforming the broader markets, I still see it as digesting the large move at the end of last year.  I think this is how the sector works.  A long period of underperformance followed by a short burst of large outperformance.  It would be less stressful to […]

January 24th Biotech Update

The sector has been dragging for a little.  Not really bouncing from the recent selling but also not accelerating to the downside.  I still have no real conviction whether or not the next move is another leg lower or a bounce from here.  I do have the conviction that even another leg lower does not […]

January 22nd Biotech Update

My call of post-JPM weakness has been accurate and while expected, it is not a great feeling especially with the broader market doing so well.  I think we are in a zone where we could find some support, but I am not convinced that this is the level from which we bounce.  The post-JPM weakness […]

January 19th Biotech Update

I was expecting weakness and that is what we have.  I am not that concerned about the selling and even if it accelerates, I would still see it as typical for this time of year (especially after the strength the sector showed to end the year).  There is a large move higher that needs to […]

January 17th Biotech Update

A little bit of expected weakness to start the week.  I am not sure how much of a pullback is coming but I still think we are due for one.  As I noted yesterday, it is perfectly consistent with previous patterns and this weakness could be more than just a couple of days but weeks […]

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January 16th Biotech Update

JPM is over and it was an OK conference.  It was not the best with deals but there was a big group right before the conference and so all in it was a hefty amount of deals.  The conference appeared one of the more upbeat in recent years and that bodes well.  I think we […]

January 11th Biotech Update

JPM has been a little slow on the news front.  There were a couple of small deals and some rumors of others, but it really looks like December was the real flood of M&A as opposed to JPM.  If we look at the past month or so, then the deals have been quite robust, just […]

January 8th Biotech Update

I got dismissed early for the day from jury duty (have to be back bright and early tomorrow) and so I wanted to get some quick thoughts on the start of JPM week, so I do not get too far behind.  The sector started off a little weak but came back strong in the afternoon.  […]

January 5th Biotech Update

We are slowing into the end of the week, which makes sense for the sector as we gear up for JPM.  We have had a slowdown in the upside momentum but that it not bad as it gives the chart time to reset and work off the overbought conditions.  It was an incredibly strong run […]

January 3rd Biotech Update

A decent start to the trading of the year.  Are we looking a little toppy?  Perhaps.  I am not a fan of the sector not ending at the highs of the day.  We still were green but we were stronger earlier in the day than later.  I would not be stunned if the sector paused […]

January 2nd Biotech Update

A decent start to the new year.  We are near the highs for the sector and are setting up a potential breakout.  I am not sure that it happens this week but could very well happen with JPM related news starting later this week.  I know that JPM starts next week but sometimes companies like […]

December 28th Biotech Update

The sector remains strong.  It feels good to be talking about the continued strength longer than one would have expected.  I would still be cautious about new positions as the chart looks a little stretched.  I do not think we are anywhere near the end of this bull market, but all bull markets need time […]