September 22 Biotech Update

The sector really seems bifurcated at this point. While the large caps have been pretty reliable winners the past couple of months, it seems like they are taking a break. Obviously, they are still close to their highs but more often than not they appear to struggle to gain and when they do the gains […]

Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 27 (9/19/14)

Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List: CNAT: Holding shares […]

September 18 Biotech Update

Seems like a mixed day for the sector with the broader markets offering a nice background for gains but the biotech sector is not really rallying as you would expect. It is still early and I am not sure there is too much to read into this but one would prefer to see a more […]

September 17 Biotech Update

The sector rallied yesterday and seems to be trying to continue the move this morning. I think we are in no man’s land at this point as a lot of stocks are getting close to lines of resistance (for instance, GILD and CELG are both approaching the 20 day SMA). Will we pause and breakout […]

[Free Content] Avanir Scores Positive Alzheimer’s Data; NPS Gets Nod From Panel

Avanir announced positive results from its Phase II trial evaluating the safety of AVP-923 in a 10-week study of 220 alzheimer’s patients. Treatment with AVP-923 resulted in a statistically significant reduction in agitation and caregiver burden. Complete data will be presented at the American Neurological Association’s (ANA) 2014 Meeting , October 12-14. The company plans […]

September 15 Biotech Update

We have a very weak start to the week as biotech buyers appear to have stepped aside. At this point, I think it is safe to say that we are in the midst of a correction and now the question is a matter of degree. We should be approaching an area of support, so it […]

Recent Option Activity (9/10 ~ 9/11)

The following stocks had recent and notable activity in their options: $MRK (9/10): 12,800 JAN15 50.0 strike Calls were sold (stock at $60.56) for 10.70 or total proceeds of $13.7 million. This trade is likely part of a larger “dividend capture” strategy (see: http://www.businessinsider.com/options-dividend-trade-strategy-2012-9) and should be viewed as neutral (not bearish or bullish). $SNSS […]

September 12 Biotech Update

Another day and another bit of weakness in the sector and market. The longer that we churn along at these levels the more it looks like stocks are resting for a continuation of the main trend (higher). It is not a high conviction view but unless the market breaks to the downside soon, it looks […]

September 11 Biotech Update

The market was pretty benign but biotechs seemed to really be taking it on the chin early. There does not seem to be a strong fundamental reason for the weakness as far as I can tell (unless you think the CELG selling is creating a larger pin action), so it looks more like profit taking […]

September 10 Biotech Update

Market seems a little heavy as does the sector. This is not to say that we cannot rally further from here but my base case is that the next move is likely to be a consolidation. While it is possible that this occurs through time, I expect it is more likely to occur through price. […]

Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 26 (9/9/14)

Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List: AEZS: PDUFA is […]

September 8 Biotech Update

A slow start to a week, which I guess should have been expected given that last week was not exceptionally news filled. Without any real catalysts, it is likely the sector will track the broader market. The one advantage is that we have a series of investor conferences in September. While these usually do not […]

September 5 Biotech Update

It was an interesting day in the markets with NFP coming in under expectations. Rumors of a new ceasefire in the Ukraine and flash crashes in mega-cap companies. What is sort of interesting is that despite all of these events the market itself is basically flat, although I doubt it will stay flat and expect […]