A pretty mixed morning with no real direction in the market. I doubt that we see it trade like this for long, although the longer we do this the better as we could be correcting through time instead of price. The biotech sector is just as mixed as the broader market with no real conviction […]
October 31 Biotech Update
A strong start to the morning but this seems a lot like a short term blow off rally but we need to see how the week closes. If we can end the day near the highs then I think the rally has some more legs in the near term but a close near the lows […]
October 30 Biotech Update
Sort of an up and down morning to start but the sector seems to be outperforming a little, perhaps on the back of good BMY data. At this point the market is in a show me state with both the bulls and bears expecting the next move to validate their view and positions. I still […]
October 29 Biotech Update
A little bit of consolidation in the sector, which seems perfectly healthy especially with the GILD “miss.” The broader markets are presenting a positive/neutral backdrop and I think that eventually leads to the sector playing catch up and then taking the lead. I still think we need to keep an eye on small caps as […]
October 27 Biotech Update
The market started a little weak this morning and while I am sure you can find a reason (Ebola, EU stress tests, end of POMO, etc), the market has had a nice run and simply needs to consolidate. This is not to say that we start the consolidation today but this is getting stretched in […]
October 24 Biotech Update
It was a neutral open for the market which is pretty positive given the selling related to the Ebola case in NYC. It is very positive to see the market shrug off the news as it now seems that the Ebola panic and fear is decreasing. I read that there are probably up to 8-10 […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 31 (10/23/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List: Strategy Updates/Comments CEMP:Top […]
October 23 Bioech Update
The rebound is continuing with large caps continuing to lead but with good participation with the small caps, which is nice to see. It really is a little amazing to see how many V-shaped moves this market makes and how little memory it has day to day. In any case, I still think the path […]
October 22 Biotech Update
After a couple days of ripping higher the markets seemed to have calmed a little, which is understandable as this rip higher needs to be digested. The small caps tended to underperform the past couple days but it still might be a little too early to call it a trend and it could just be […]
[Free Content] TGTX in Pictures
TG Therapeutics has two programs, the CD20 targeting antibody TG-1101, and PI3K delta inhibitor TGR-1202. The focus of this post is on TGR-1202. Earlier coverage can be found here [link]. TG has been hesitant in giving out the structure of TGR-1202. It’s out now, so here it is below along with Idelalisib and IPI-145 […]
October 20 Biotech Update
The world did not end in an Ebola pandemic this weekend nor did any economy implode, so the markets breathed a sigh of relief. We may be seeing the slow implosion of IBM but that damage seems isolated to the Dow (for now). When all is said and done it seems like a fairly neutral […]
October 17 Biotech Update
Looks like we are clearly having the bounce that everyone has been expecting (expect during the height of the selling where everyone expected the market to go to zero). This should have fairly significant legs even if it is a dead cat bounce. At this point the conservative stance is to stay agnostic about the […]
GWPH: A Compelling Story
GW Pharma’s Tuesday morning R&D meeting looked pretty good. Efficacy data were released for 58 patients with full 12-weeks of epidiolex treatment- 40 of whom have been treated for 16-weeks. The total safety database consisted of 151 patients who have received any drug. Data from this larger pool of 58 patients- double that from the […]
MRK – A Falling Knife Or a Golden Opportunity
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) -NYSE Many speculation going around the huge drop in MRK’s share price in just one week, dropping from the $60.18 (closing on 10/08) to reach the low of $52.49 today, but bouncing back sharply to trade around the support line $53.44. Some speculation of De-risking as we get closer to […]
October 16 Biotech Update
The market continues its weakness but I am certainly encouraged that small caps are out performing. They were an early signal on the way down and so are potentially an early signal on the way back up. Of course, it could just be funds who were short are raising cash but I am not convinced […]
Biotech Survey Results- Number 1
This is the first report on what I want to be a fairly regular set of surveys. I want to keep the surveys short to maximize participation as the more responders the more relevant the results. I also plan on regularly doing the question on market direction and top three, so over time we will […]
October 15 Biotech Update- The Alibaba Top and Abbvie Bottom?
ABBV broke the market! I say that only half in jest. The prospects that ABBV will walk away from SHPG is triggering heavy selling in SHPG and there are a number of large funds invested in SHPG not use to losing 20%+ on a position in a day. In biotech that is an unfortunate consequence […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 30 (10/14/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List: CEMP:Top line (efficacy/safety) […]
Sarepta at World Muscle Society: Follow-up
The only new data provided by Sarepta were various measures of lung function, including, including %predicted MIP, MEP, and FVC; all of which demonstrated stabilization through 144 weeks for the 12 boys in the treated population. Individual patient data were once again provided, this time at the 144 week time point. As the trend has […]
Biotech Survey
As a way to aggregate views of the sector and companies in the sector, we are going to periodically survey investors. Please take this short (3 questions) survey and we will release the results later this week when we have enough responses. Thanks. https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/XG8W75Q