Would you believe another snow day in Louisiana, which is number three in the past couple of weeks (if you were counting). In general, despite a very weak market , biotechs did fairly well, although it was the large caps holding up the sector with the small caps more mixed. It was nice to see […]
Week’s Option Activity (1/13 ~ 1/28)
The following stocks had notable activity in their options during the past week(s): $XOMA (1/13): 2,550 JUN risk reversals were purchased (stock at $8.32) for 0.40 or $102,000. 2,550 JUN 15.0 strike Calls were purchased for 0.88 and 2,550 JUN 5.0 strike Puts were sold against for 0.48. Buyer expects substantial upside movement and makes […]
January 28- Biotech Update
Well, we are having a snow/winter storm day in Baton Rouge, so the kids have no school and I need to work around them as best I can (so I apologize for the poor editing). I will try to keep this short and to the point and get it out earlier than usual as I […]
January 27 Biotech Update
It is amazing how quickly sentiment can change. Last week I was noting the shifts and the expectations for a correction. This was certainly needed but I think the speed of the move has less to do with fundamentals and more to do with jittery investors. Nobody wants to be the last one to sell, […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 2 (1/24/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List – Update: CHTP: […]
Upcoming Phase 3 trials
With a fresh start to 2014 and the biotech market still very strong, we wanted to examine some upcoming Phase 3 results that will be in focus in the first quarter. Expectations for some of these trials varies widely. We have a blend of small biotech to big pharma. Company: Merck (MRK) and Amgen (AMGN) […]
January 23rd Biotech Update
The macro backdrop today was not great but the sector did better than I would have expected going into the day. That being said there is likely a correction coming so buying this dip might not be the best strategy. I am still mainly sitting on the sidelines on stocks I am watching waiting for […]
January 22nd Biotech Update
I feel like a record stuck skipping over the same part but there has not really been anything new in the market this week either from a macro sense or even at the individual level. The sector was strong in the morning basically on the backs of the large caps (see GILD later in the […]
GERN- A Speculative Trade
To be clear, I’m not a big fan of Geron. However, upcoming events provide an interesting, although somewhat risky trading opportunity. The telomerase inhibitor imetelstat has demonstrated activity in the myeloproliferative disorders essential thrombosis and myelofibrosis. Geron is now planning a company sponsored P2 in MF set to begin around June; data may become available […]
IBB – In The Decision Zone
iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) -Nasdaq The best indicator for our biotech portfolios are biotechnology indices such as IBB, NBI, XBI or XLV. By looking at the IBB daily chart, we get the whole picture of the latest epic run in the biotech sector during 2013, with a whopping run from 134.21 to 227.06 points, gaining 69.2%, while […]
January 21st Biotech Update on GILD ECYT ONTX
The sector is looking a little tired at these levels but it seems like everyone is expecting a pullback, which makes the contrarian in me wonder if there is another leg higher. I am certainly not selling anything at this point but would be cautious about buying now. I would not be surprised to see catalyst stocks […]
January 17 Biotech Update- Building a Diagnostic Foundation
Today was more of the same in the sector and that is generally positive given the sentiment. I know it seems like biotech has been going up every day (we have certainly had a good run recently) but it seems to me like this is the only sector that is not warning on earnings as […]
January 16 Biotech Update- Back from the Circus
I am back from JPM and it was a busy couple of days. I need organize my thoughts and today was not a great day given that it is start of the semester. So I will keep this short and sweet with some broad comments and thoughts. Obviously the sector is doing well, which is […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 1 (1/14/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List – Update: KERX: […]
January 10 Biotech Update- The Revenge of Momentum
Another busy day in the market. It seems like the small caps want to steal the show and perhaps we will see the large caps take the next leg higher with their presentations next week. I have been saying for awhile that JPM would be a tell for the sector and while the conference has […]
Week’s Option Activity (12/27 ~ 1/9)
The following stocks had notable activity in their options during the past week(s): $GERN (12/27): 663 JUN 5.0 strike Calls (stock at $5.10) were purchased for 1.40 or total cost of $92,820. Buyer makes money if stock trades above $6.40 by June expiration. $CHTP (12/31): 5,500 JAN 4.0 strike Puts (stock at $4.40) were purchased […]
January 9- The Biotech Momentum Continues
It was a great day for biotechs despite a neutral to bearish macro drag. We not only had some great price action but we continued with the positive news. This is creating a nice bid under the sector and even the large caps that did not have much news per se moved higher. It is […]
Jan 8 Biotech Update- Looking to Europe for Value and Some Deals at Home
Well, it seemed like yesterday was the day of good data and today was the day of buyouts, what will tomorrow bring? The day of partnerships or the calm before the storm or something completely different? Regardless, two days of good news in the sector gave us a strong morning move that held up well […]
A look at Innate Pharma
Immuno-oncology was one of the hottest themes of 2013 and its been almost entirely a big pharma story. We saw Bristol-Myers Squibb, Merck and Roche reveal more data and future plans for their PD-1 and PD-L1 inhibitors. It’s going to be the hottest theme for awhile, so we want to highlight one company that has […]
January 7 Biotech Update: Good News for PCYC, EPZM, and FMI
I thought yesterday was going to start a run in biotechs but I was a day early. We had the broad market rally helping but the sector was pushed today by some positive news. Of course, every move higher in the sector is bemoaned as being too much making this one of the most hated […]