The sector and market rallied nicely on the GDP but I am still not convinced that we have an all clear. It was especially disconcerting how quickly the market gave back a lot of the post GDP print gains. Of course, there are still values out there and no reason to sell and run for […]
July 29 Biotech Update
I had a great email last night that asked me to compare FMI and ILMN and so today I will go a step further and have a day of rumbles with FMI vs ILMN, CNAT vs GALT, and MRK vs PFE. I would talk a little about the broader market and sector but at this […]
July 28 Biotech Update
Not a great start to the week but the sector seems to be tracking the broader market selloff. I am really of two minds in that there are many reasons to expect the broader market to hit a significant air pocket as it seems pricey by a number of traditional valuation methods (CAPE and so […]
July 25 Biotech Update
Market is pulling back a little and taking everything with it. I think we will get a much better sense of how the sector is reacting to the large cap earnings next week as the stocks either pullback further, consolidate, or grind higher. Today I want to follow up on a couple of issues of […]
July 24 Biotech Update
A busy day in the sector and I want to highlight some broad themes and then perhaps revisit with details where appropriate in the next day or two. In general, the earnings are pretty much in line and do nothing to dampen the growth stories of the large cap biotechs. The stock action so far […]
July 28 Biotech Update
Earnings season is off to a good start with both a nice quarter from BIIB and the positive phase III data from PBYI. It is encouraging that good news is being rewarded but the key is going to be how well this spike maintains over the next days and weeks. Given the positive pin action […]
July 21 Biotech Update
It was a quite start to the week with the markets a little weak, which is probably more related to macro concerns than anything specific to the market. This is not to say that valuation concerns do not exist but I still get the sense that the Ukraine and Gaza are keeping investors on edge […]
July 18 Biotech Update
I am back after my three day trip to NYC and while it seemed that the sector took a hit, today’s action seems to be a good start to recapture a lot of the losses. My point is not that the pullback was insignificant but more that it seems more like a pause/pullback that refreshes […]
July 14 Biotech Update
It was a mixed day in the market as the broader market seemed good but biotechs seemed more mixed. I am not sure these is much to make out of it as the key over the next couple of weeks will be earnings (at least for the larger biotechs) and then once we get through […]
July 11 Biotech Update
Despite a weak macro market, biotechs actually performed pretty well yesterday. That was a surprise albeit a pleasant one. Clearly biotech has its mojo back as three or four months ago, the sector would have been down 5% on a day like yesterday. I have been talking about reactions to earnings as a signal about […]
July 10 Biotech Update
It was clearly a bad day in the market and the sector. It is looking more and more likely that the long anticipated correction is here and the question now is how deep of a correction and how long will it last? I would not be surprised to see at least a 5% correction in […]
July 9 Biotech Update
The market was better today but this is not surprising that we get a breather after the two day sell off. The key is what happens in the afternoon and tomorrow. In other words, we cannot know if this is simply a dead cat bounce before more selling or the end of a quick downdraft. […]
July 8 Biotech Update
Again there is not a lot of news outside of a marginally raised offer for SHPG but clearly the market is selling off. Is this the long awaited correction that I have been talking about? Perhaps. I think we need to see how stocks react to earnings to get a real sense. If stocks are […]
July 7 Biotech Update
So a relatively weak day in the markets but really nothing much going on and it seems more like another day of the summer doldrums. I think the vast majority of days are going to be like this with some to the upside and some to the downside. At some point, there will be some […]
July 3 Biotech Update
It seems like a very slow day in the market as not a lot of news outside of the macro data, which was positive. The sector seemed to drag a little this morning but I would certainly not read anything into the move today given the volume and the morning heading into an early close […]
July 2 Biotech Update
A tough end to USA soccer in the World Cup but another good morning for biotech stocks. I have some follow up discussion from earlier this week as there is not a ton of new news this morning. I suspect that will be the case as we get closer to the long weekend (but we, […]
July 1 Biotech Update
It was a good morning in the sector with some positive news and momentum, although we seemed to have faded a little. As I have been saying for awhile, I think the sector has a good shot to hit new all-time highs as long as the macro environment does not turn bearish. I do not […]
June 30 Biotech Update- Back in the Saddle Again
Vacation is over and I am back to the grind (although I cannot really call what I do a grind as it is enjoyable). This is extra early today as I have a lot of catching up to do today and wanted to get some thoughts out there before I get caught up in other […]
June 20 Biotech Update
I am glad that I did not miss too much yesterday but it is usually the case that a day or week off does not dramatically change your perspective. It was another good morning for biotechs and I still believe that we are going to make a run at the all-time sector highs if the […]
June 18 Biotech Update
The sector (and market really) has been choppy since late yesterday morning. I would not read anything into these movements as it is a combination of low volume summer doldrums and the lack of any strong short term trend. As I have been saying for awhile, there will be a positive bias to trading for […]
