Not a lot of additional news today. The sector continues to modestly outperform the broad market, which is good. The XBI crossed over the 200 day moving average (and actually closed above it) and the longer it can remain there the better. It would be great to see that moving average tested and hold as […]
July 21 Biotech Update
Finally we get some news for the sector and it is good news. Yesterday was a good day and the news so far today only builds on that move. Perhaps this is going to be enough to break the sector out of its range but that remains to be seen. At the very least it […]
July 20 Biotech Update
So the sector might actually be outperforming the market today but it is early. What is nice is that the positive news continues to be rewarded, which means our holdings only need to follow through on their catalysts to get a nice return. This is very different than earlier in the year where positive news […]
July 19 Biotech Update
More of the same yesterday and still not a ton of news for this morning. The market is overbought even if the sector is still not anywhere near over bought or all-time highs. That makes one worry a little about what happens to the sector when the market inevitably works off the overbought condition but […]
July 18 Biotech Update
Looking around there is really not a ton of sector news. The market is flat which could be considered a win given the Turkey coup attempt Friday but in terms of sector moving data or events, there is really nothing going on. It is a little interesting that we have had a dearth of mergers […]
July 15 Biotech Update
There is nothing new in the market or the sector, so I suspect we see more of the same. The sector continues to track the broader market but is clearly the weaker of the two. Until we get news we are going to be stuck in this pattern but on the bright side this likely […]
July 14 Biotech Update
The market continues to ramp higher but about halfway through yesterday the bottom fell out of the biotech sector and it has been struggling ever since despite the strength in the broader markets. It is not immediately clear what was the cause (seems temporally to correlate with Andrew Left noting that he is short VRX […]
July 13 Biotech Update
The market continued its strength (even if we dipped red for a second today). If you remember in the lead up to the BREXT vote the cash balance sheets for institutional investors were very high. With the market running after BREXIT you are getting buying panics as the buying dips have not appeared. In addition, […]
July 12 Biotech Update
The market and sector continue to do well. At least in terms of the macro market, we are back in the pattern where the most likely path of a market making new highs is to make marginal new highs. Obviously the biotech sector is not in that pattern even if we are moving with the […]
July 11 Biotech Update
I go on vacation and the sector does well and when I come back it is OK but not great. I hope this is not telling me something. In any case, it appears that the sector once again held at support but has not quite broken out of its range. With the market making all-time […]
July 1 Biotech Update
Yesterday was not a disaster but it was some kind of underperformance. Even as we got essentially a buyers panic at the end of the day, it still left many biotechs red. So on the good side, we did not break down but on the bad side it shows the utter lack of interest in […]
June 30 Biotech Update
More of the relief rally in the markets and to a certain extent the sector. As has been the case with most of the rallies in the sector, the trading desks are calling it a short covering rally more than long only money being put to work. As I have been saying in response is […]
June 29 Biotech Update
Brexit fears are turning into Brexit relief as I talked about Monday but there is still awhile to go before the damage to the market and sector are fixed and we probably need to go over the pre-Brexit levels before getting more comfortable. In any case, there is some interesting biotech news to talk about. […]
June 27 Biotech Update
Brexit, Brexit, and more Brexit. Commentary from this weekend ranged from the end of humanity as we know it to everything will be fine. Clearly someone is going to nail the impact (given that every type of impact has been talked about). The fact is we do not know and cannot even start to gauge […]
June 24 Biotech Update
Nothing from the sector but the news is certainly the Brexit results. I am not well versed in all the nuances of what it means for the EU (no one is as there is now a two year negotiation process that will determine exactly what a Brexit means and how it will be done) but […]
June 23 Biotech Update
Nothing new (again) and the market is waiting on baited breath about the Brexit voting results. This should be the last major near term fear inducing event. The polls are too close to call but the betting markets seem pretty confident that the vote will be to remain. I expect today will be volatile but […]
June 22 Biotech Update
This is an extra early morning edition (I had to drop my kid off at the airport at 3:45AM) but really nothing a lot has changed since yesterday. The sector continues to be weak and there are some signs of large and important stocks breaking support but as a sector I think we are holding […]
June 21 Biotech Update
Really not much news but the more things change the more they stay the same. We seem destined to once again test the lows in the sector and one has to worry about each test. On the positive side the support keeps holding but on the negative side each test probably increases the risk of […]
June 20 Biotech Update
Macro rules yet again with Brexit fears abating sending the market higher, although there are some notable under performing stocks. While it is hard to see a very large trend, the breadth in the biotech sector seems weaker than the market with a number of red stocks on my screen and a number of barely […]
June 17 Biotech Update
I am starting to sound like a broken record but we are having more of the same in that I did not miss much yesterday and it continues today. It seems to me that we are stuck in a macro rut (Brexit concerns and FX movements) with no real sector catalysts to drive action so […]
