Tomorrow is our big earning day (will not be able to write tomorrow so look for an update on the news Friday) but today we at least had a positive earnings with NVS. While I am sure there will be tradable extreme moves, the sector is going to continue to need positive earnings and data […]
January 24 Biotech Update
Still a slow start to the week especially for an earnings week. I will highlight a couple biotech points and one non-biotech. In terms of the non-biotech, I am becoming increasingly worried about the market in general. Keep in mind that one of the key advisors to Trump is Icahn who noted previously that the […]
January 23 Biotech Update
There is not a lot of new news out this week but this is a week where earnings start, which could pick up the pace a little in terms of fundamental news. Two potential caveats. First, coming on the heels of JPM there is likely not a lot of new information to be provided. Companies […]
January 20th Biotech Update
We are getting some more offerings as is expected post JPM but they seem slower than usual. In any case, we have more large cap pharma news that is pretty meaningful that I want to focus on today. 1. BMY noted last night that they will not be pursuing accelerated approval for front line NSCLC […]
January 18 Biotech Update
We have some news to talk about that seems to be a net neutral but in terms of individual stocks are likely meaningful. I also do not want to beat a point into the ground but I read an article that interviewed some republican legislators, who seemed to imply I was correct about Trump to […]
January 17 Biotech Update
The sector appears to have shrugged off (relatively speaking as to what could have happened) the recent Trump noise on the industry and likely for good reason. It is only a matter of time before the market learns that the President-elect is likely a lot more bark than bite and in the case of the […]
January 13 Biotech Update
JPM is over and I am back. It is a lot to digest, so I will do some broad highlights today and then get more into details on Monday. To be honest, there is actually less to digest than previous years and most of the presentations were webcast but there is some interesting colors that […]
January 9 Biotech Update
I am getting ready to head out to JPM but I wanted to have a quick JPM note this morning. In general, the news has been a little slow as compared to expectations but certainly bullish. I will highlight a couple of the more important stories. 1. We have almost $6B in deals in one […]
January 6 Biotech Update
News continues to come in (both expected and unexpected) and the sector remains strong into JPM. Usually there is a tailwind JPM week that can last a little but eventually all the secondaries that come after JPM stall the momentum. Last year was obviously an exception to that pattern but it seems (at least so […]
January 5 Biotech Update
News is starting to pick up as we approach JPM. This should continue through the weekend. There has not really been anything dramatic today as these early birds tend to be companies that would be overwhelmed by the bigger announcements expected closer to JPM. All in all, the net-net of news this morning has been […]
January 4 Biotech Update
The year continues at two for two with another trial failure but so far the market is shrugging it off. It is not surprising as expectations build for JPM. Usually the Monday of JPM is filled with news but it has been creeping forward a little as some companies are releasing news the week before […]
January 3rd Biotech Update
Welcome to 2017 and we are not off to a great fundamental start with a phase III failure, capital raises and price increases. In other words, more of the same. I will continue with my previews but want to start off with a broad overview of the sector and perhaps an alternative narrative for 2016 […]
December 26 Biotech Update
I hope that everyone is having a good holiday season. News has slowed to a crawl and I will start making the 2017 previews unless there is some breaking news. I will start with large caps and move down the capital structure. 1. My 2017 large cap biotech pick is CELG (surprise) but I am […]
December 21 Biotech Update
The news flow continues with deals and talk of deals. I want to end this week (will be at home for the holidays Thursday and Friday) with a follow up and then a new idea. 1. SRPT continues to be hated and while it is frustrating I love the hate. Goldman put out of note […]
December 19 Biotech Update
We are winding down and gearing up. The year is winding down so the news flow seems to be drying up but we are starting to gear up with 2017 predictions and JPM. Perhaps tax loss selling is slowing but I still think that might be the biggest headwind into the end of the year […]
December 16 Biotech Update
I am back from jury duty and will try and catch up on the events of this week but will continue that next week before the holiday break. The trading in the sector seems to have been volatile in that there seems to have been no real movement but some twists and turns to get […]
December 8 Biotech Update
So the sector seems to be moving beyond the Trump Tantrum if only slowly. It sort of helps that we have something else to obsess and argue about with Alzheimer’s data. While we have years before the BIIB phase III data and nothing has been settled, it is important data worth a focus for today. […]
December 7 Biotech Update
Here we go again. Just when you thought we could focus on fundamentals we have to talk about politics and politicians again. There was apparently an interview where Trump talked about tackling drug prices but the fact is there is nothing he can do alone. The republicans still control congress and it seems unlikely that […]
December 6 Biotech Update
It was a good day for most of the sector and ASH names except the ones I seemed to own. In any case, it was good to see the sector respond positively to ASH in general despite the odd reaction in a couple of names. I will continue with my ASH related reports today. 1. […]
December 5 Biotech Update
ASH has more or less come and gone. This is usually a highly anticipated conference that has some game changing data. While this was once again highly anticipated, I have been saying for weeks that this is an ASH of incremental as opposed to thesis changing data. A lot of the interesting data were updates […]
